Abstract
A proposed study of breakout persistence, execution costs, and market regimes in BTCUSD.
Research Question
Do Bitcoin range breakouts retain predictive value after realistic trading costs?
Hypothesis
A breakout rule may show different outcomes across volatility regimes; any apparent edge must survive costs and out-of-sample evaluation.
Data
Data has not yet been collected or validated. Sources, sample period, cleaning rules, and exclusions will be documented before analysis.
Methodology
Proposed: define the range and entry rules before testing; split data chronologically; compare against a simple benchmark; model fees, spread, and slippage; evaluate performance by regime.
Results
No results are available. This page records a proposed study; no backtest or statistical findings are being claimed.
Trading Results
No trading results are available. Future reporting will distinguish backtests from forward tests and live execution, including costs, sample periods, and drawdowns.
Robustness
Pending analysis. Sensitivity checks, alternative assumptions, uncertainty estimates, and out-of-sample evaluation will be documented here.
cTrader Results
No cTrader account or embed has been connected to this study.
Conclusion
Verdict pending. The hypothesis has not yet been tested.